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Mortgage Buy-Down Engine Discount Points • Breakeven Months • Refi Risk • S&P 500 Compounding

Mortgage Discount Points Breakeven Calculator

Calculate whether paying 1 to 2 discount points upfront at closing actually saves money before you move or refinance.

1. Loan Parameters & Base Rate

Mortgage Specs

2. Point Pricing & Rate Summary

At Closing
Upfront Cash Cost of Points: $4,500.00
New Bought-Down Interest Rate: 6.500% (-0.25%)
Discount Points Breakeven Point

59.8 Months (5.0 Years)

✅ FAVORABLE (STAY > 5 YRS)
Monthly Savings

$75.25/mo

Lower P&I Payment
Horizon Profit

+$1,821

Over 7 Years
S&P 500 Compounding

$7,950

If Cash Invested
Refi Risk Window

60 Months

Loss if Refi Early
Mortgage Points Decision Verdict:

Because you plan to keep this mortgage for 7.0 years, you will recover your $4,500 point fee in 59.8 months and generate +$1,821 in net interest savings. However, if interest rates drop and you refinance before Year 5, buying points will result in a net cash loss.

Cumulative Net Savings Over Time

Tracking the crossing point from negative upfront fee into pure profit
Breakeven Curve
✨ AI Mortgage Points & Refinance Strategist 100% Private to You

Click "Run AI Points Audit" to evaluate temporary seller-paid 2-1 buydowns (saving $400/mo in Year 1 without locking cash into permanent points) and IRS Schedule A tax deductibility.

Zero Data Access: Your loan numbers and interest rates execute 100% locally in your browser. Zero Server Access

Mortgage Structuring & Rate Buy-Downs

The Mortgage Points Gamble: Why Buying Down Your Rate Can Backfire in a Falling Rate Environment

An engineering analysis of breakeven math, lender discount structures, and why temporary 2-1 buydowns often beat permanent points.

The 60-Month Breakeven Rule

Buying permanent discount points requires an average of 55 to 65 months (4.5 to 5.5 years) of uninterrupted monthly payments just to recoup the upfront cash spent at closing. If you sell the home, get relocated for work, or refinance into a lower market rate before Month 60, buying points was a guaranteed loss.

Frequently Asked Questions (Mortgage Discount Points)

Are mortgage discount points tax deductible?

Yes! For a primary home purchase, discount points are generally 100% tax-deductible in the year paid on IRS Schedule A if you itemize deductions. For a refinance, points must be amortized and deducted evenly over the life of the loan (e.g. 1/30th per year for a 30-year loan).

What is a temporary 2-1 buydown vs permanent points?

A temporary 2-1 buydown (often paid by the home seller or builder as a concession) reduces your interest rate by 2% in Year 1 and 1% in Year 2, before resetting to the fixed note rate in Year 3. Unlike permanent points, unused funds in a temporary buydown escrow account are credited back to your principal balance if you refinance early!